9914dan
论坛版主-副热带高压
论坛版主-副热带高压
  • 注册日期2009-06-25
  • 最后登录2017-04-27
  • 粉丝81
  • 关注43
  • 发帖数1877
  • 来自
阅读:463回复:7

[SH(16-17)]布鲁姆西北92S - 17.7S 119.6E

楼主#
更多 发布于:2017-03-23 08:57
92S INVEST 170323 0000  14.0S  108.0E SHEM   15   NA

图片:20170322.2300.himawari8.x.ir1km_bw.92SINVEST.15kts-NAmb-140S-1080E.100pc.jpg



扫描二维码,查看更多台风内容!

[9914dan于2017-03-27 14:52编辑了帖子]
2条评分, 金钱 +3 威望 +3
喜欢0 评分2
iam最小值
论坛版主-副热带高压
论坛版主-副热带高压
  • 注册日期2011-07-16
  • 最后登录2017-04-27
  • 粉丝212
  • 关注25
  • 发帖数11145
  • 来自
1楼#
发布于:2017-03-23 21:50
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Western Australia

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region
Issued at 2:33 pm WST on Thursday 23 March 2017
for the period until midnight WST Sunday 26 March 2017.

Existing Cyclones in the  Western Region:

A 2pm WST Tropical Cyclone Caled was located near 12.6S 100.5E (about 400km east
of the Cocos Islands). Please refer to the latest Tropical Cyclone Forecasts for
more information [www.bom.gov.au/cyclone].

Likelihood of this system remaining a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:
                                   Friday: High
                                   Saturday: High
                                   Sunday: High

Potential Cyclones:  

A tropical low was located over land near 20.6S 118.5E at 2pm WST (30 km
southwest of Port Hedland) and expected to continue moving south and is not
expected to intensify over land. A Severe Weather Warning is current for the
system for the Pilbara district [www.bom.gov.au/wa/warnings/].
Another small tropical low was located near 15.0S 110.3E at 2pm WST (about 900km
north northwest of Exmouth). The low has a small chance of reaching tropical
cyclone intensity overnight Thursday or early Friday morning before weakening
later Friday and Saturday.

Likelihood of another system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:
                                   Friday: Low
                                   Saturday: Low
                                   Sunday: Low
回复(0) 喜欢(0)     评分
9914dan
论坛版主-副热带高压
论坛版主-副热带高压
  • 注册日期2009-06-25
  • 最后登录2017-04-27
  • 粉丝81
  • 关注43
  • 发帖数1877
  • 来自
2楼#
发布于:2017-03-24 21:51
A small tropical low was located near 15.5S 117.9E at 2pm WST (about 550km west northwest of Broome) and moving east at about 25 km/hr. The system has a moderate chance of reaching tropical cyclone intensity during Saturday, or early Sunday morning. It should weaken during Sunday. It is moving towards the Kimberley coast, but should slow down tonight before moving south during Saturday and then southwest on Sunday.

Likelihood of this system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:
Saturday:Moderate
Sunday:Moderate
Monday:Low

半天前的风场,有25kt。

图片:LATEST.jpg




92S INVEST 170324 1200 15.2S 119.8E SHEM 25 1004

图片:vis_lalo-animated.gif

回复(0) 喜欢(0)     评分
刚打酱油回来
超强台风
超强台风
  • 注册日期2012-11-16
  • 最后登录2017-04-27
  • 粉丝168
  • 关注6
  • 发帖数5633
  • 来自
3楼#
发布于:2017-03-25 09:54

图片:abiosair.jpg


ABIO10 PGTW 250130
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN
/REISSUED/250130Z-251800ZMAR2017//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/241951ZMAR2017//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 241800Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 12S (CALEB) WAS LOCATED NEAR
14.9S 100.5E, APPROXIMATELY 270 NM SOUTHEAST OF COCOS ISLAND, AND
HAD TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING
TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 242100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92S) HAS PERSISTED NEAR
15.7S 120.5E, APPROXIMATELY 170 NM NORTHWEST OF BROOME, AUSTRALIA.
ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS AN AREA OF LOW
LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) FURTHER EVIDENT ON A 242234Z SSMIS 91GHZ
IMAGE WHICH DISPLAYS A CONDENSED AREA OF CONVECTION. A 240153Z ASCAT
PASS REVEALED 25 TO 30 KNOT WINDS ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF
THE LLC SUPPORTING SOME POTENTIAL FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. THOUGH
DUE TO POOR UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW AND HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (25-30
KNOTS) THE AREA IS ASSESSED AS HAVING OVERALL LOW DEVELOPMENT
POTENTIAL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1) TO LOW.//
NNNN


图片:vis_lalo-animated.gif


TPXS12 PGTW 250011
A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 92S (NE OF LEARMONTH)
B. 24/2350Z
C. 15.60S
D. 120.52E
E. FIVE/HMWRI8
F. T1.0/1.0
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 40A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. .20 WRAP ON LOG10 SPIRAL YIELDS
A 1.0 DT. MET AND PT ARE UNAVAILABLE. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE

   BERMEA
[刚打酱油回来于2017-03-25 10:31编辑了帖子]
帖子签名
回复(0) 喜欢(0)     评分
9914dan
论坛版主-副热带高压
论坛版主-副热带高压
  • 注册日期2009-06-25
  • 最后登录2017-04-27
  • 粉丝81
  • 关注43
  • 发帖数1877
  • 来自
4楼#
发布于:2017-03-25 19:20
小萌货
At 2pm WST a small tropical low was located near 15.7S 121.3E (about 270km north northwest of Broome) and was moving slowly east at about 5 km/h. The system is forecast to begin moving southwards later today then west to southwestwards during Sunday and Monday, staying off the WA coast. There is only a small chance that the system develops into a tropical cyclone during Sunday or Monday.

Likelihood of this system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:
Sunday:Low
Monday:Low
Tuesday:Very Low

图片:LATEST.jpg



Australia1 Subset - Aqua 1km True Color 2017/084 (03/25)

图片:Australia1.2017084.aqua.1km.jpg



图片:2446D414-CC92-44F1-9F1C-59F6C13CA6A5.png

回复(0) 喜欢(0)     评分
刚打酱油回来
超强台风
超强台风
  • 注册日期2012-11-16
  • 最后登录2017-04-27
  • 粉丝168
  • 关注6
  • 发帖数5633
  • 来自
5楼#
发布于:2017-03-26 10:36

图片:vis_lalo-animated.gif


TPXS12 PGTW 260054
A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 92S (NE OF LEARMONTH)
B. 26/0000Z
C. 16.40S
D. 121.40E
E. FIVE/HMWRI8
F. T1.0/1.0/S0.0/24HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 40A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. .20 WRAP ON LOG10 SPIRAL YIELDS
1.0 DT. MET/PT ARE 1.0. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE

   CHAPPOTIN
帖子签名
回复(0) 喜欢(0)     评分
刚打酱油回来
超强台风
超强台风
  • 注册日期2012-11-16
  • 最后登录2017-04-27
  • 粉丝168
  • 关注6
  • 发帖数5633
  • 来自
6楼#
发布于:2017-03-27 05:19

图片:abiosair.jpg


ABIO10 PGTW 261800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN
/OCEAN/261800Z-271800ZMAR2017//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/260751ZMAR2017//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 260600Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 12S (CALEB) WAS LOCATED NEAR
16.0S 99.3E, APPROXIMATELY 919 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH,
AUSTRALIA, AND HAD TRACKED WESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS
GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 260900) FOR FURTHER
DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 15.7S 120.5E, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.//
NNNN

TPXS12 PGTW 261854
A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 92S (NE OF LEARMONTH)
B. 26/1800Z
C. XX.XX
D. XXX.XX
E. N/A/HMWRI8
F. N/A
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: POSITION OF LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER COULD NOT
BE FOUND.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE

   CHAPPOTIN
帖子签名
回复(0) 喜欢(0)     评分
iam最小值
论坛版主-副热带高压
论坛版主-副热带高压
  • 注册日期2011-07-16
  • 最后登录2017-04-27
  • 粉丝212
  • 关注25
  • 发帖数11145
  • 来自
7楼#
发布于:2017-03-27 17:32
昨天的BOM展望,今天的已经没了。NRL撤编,云图上看已散。

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Western Australia

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region
Issued at 2:04 pm WST on Sunday 26 March 2017
for the period until midnight WST Wednesday 29 March 2017.

Existing Cyclones in the  Western Region:

At 2pm WST Tropical Cyclone Caleb was located near 16S 99.4E (about 500km south
southeast of the Cocos Islands). The tropical cyclone is likely to remain a
tropical cyclone until Tuesday or Wednesday. Please refer to the latest Tropical
Cyclone Forecasts for more information [www.bom.gov.au/cyclone].

Likelihood of this system remaining a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:
                                   Monday: High
                                   Tuesday: High
                                   Wednesday: Moderate

Potential Cyclones:  

At 2pm WST a small tropical low was located near 17S 121.2E (about 150km
northwest of Broome) and was moving slowly south southwest at about 10 km/h. The
system is unlikely to develop into a tropical cyclone.
There are no other significant lows in the Western Region at present and none
are expected to develop over the next three days.

Likelihood of another system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:
                                   Monday: Very Low
                                   Tuesday: Very Low
                                   Wednesday: Very Low

图片:vis_lalo-animated.gif

回复(0) 喜欢(0)     评分
游客

返回顶部