9914dan
论坛版主-副热带高压
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[SH(16-17)]瓦努阿图以西热带低压11F(96P)

楼主#
更多 发布于:2017-02-10 01:11
96P INVEST 170209 1800  15.3S  160.9E SHEM   15   NA

图片:20170209.1630.himawari-8.ir.96P.INVEST.15kts.1004mb.15.3S.160.9E.100pc.jpg



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图片:79_2366_9ea83845f6b68cd.jpg


[9914dan于2017-02-10 18:05编辑了帖子]
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iam最小值
论坛版主-副热带高压
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1楼#
发布于:2017-02-10 08:52
应该是昨天BOM展望中提到的所罗门群岛以南的热带低压,已经进入到斐济责任区,编号11F。

Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Feb 092352 UTC.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TD11F CENTRE [1002HPA] LOCATED NEAR 16.3S 161.0E
AT 092100UTC. POSITION POOR BASED ON HIMAWARI VIS IMAGERY WITH
ANIMATION AND PERIPHERAL SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. TD10F MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 06 KNOTS.
DEEP CONVECTION DISPLACED TO SOUTHEAST OF SUPPOSED LLCC. ORGANISATION
POOR. SYSTEM LIES EAST OF AN UPPER TROUGH IN A MODERATE TO HIGH
SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. SST IS AROUND 30 DEGREES CELSIUS.

GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED THE SYSTEM AND MOVE IT SOUTHEAST WITH
SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION.

POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE
NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS IS LOW.
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iam最小值
论坛版主-副热带高压
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2楼#
发布于:2017-02-11 10:36
NRL已撤,云图上看确实缺少环流中心

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11F [1000HPA] LOCATED NEAR 19.5S 167.5E AT ABOUT
101800UTC. POSITION POOR BASED ON HIMAWARI VIS/IR IMAGERY WITH
ANIMATION AND PERIPHERAL SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. TD11F MOVING
EAST-SOUTHEAST AT 15 KNOTS.
DEEP CONVECTION LIES UNDER AN UPPER ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION AND IN
LOW TO MODERATE SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. ORGANISATION HAS SLIGHTLY
IMPROVED. SST IS AROUND 30 DEGREES CELSIUS.

GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED THE SYSTEM AND MOVE IT SOUTHEAST WITH
SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION.

POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE
NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS IS LOW TO MODERATE.

图片:vis_lalo-animated.gif

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tontonyua
强热带风暴
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3楼#
发布于:2017-02-11 22:55
Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Feb 110944 UTC.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11F [1002HPA] LOCATED NEAR 18.9S 173.0E AT
110900UTC. POSITION POOR BASED ON HIMAWARI IR IMAGERY WITH ANIMATION
AND PERIPHERAL SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. TD11F MOVING EAST AT 17 KNOTS.
SYSTEM LIES TO THE SOUTH OF AN UPPER RIDGE IN A HIGH SHEARED
ENVIRONMENT. ORGANISATION POOR. SST IS AROUND 30 DEGREES CELSIUS.

GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED THE SYSTEM AND MOVE IT EASTWARDS WITH NO
INTENSIFICATION.

POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE
NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS IS LOW.

*********************************************************************
***************

NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE
AREA.
我与论坛相遇在猴年马月。 tontonyua
天气皮鸭。
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4楼#
发布于:2017-02-13 00:39
补一个

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11F [1003HPA] LOCATED NEAR 20.S 177.9W AT
112100UTC. POSITION POOR BASED ON HIMAWARI IR IMAGERY WITH ANIMATION
AND PERIPHERAL SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. TD11F MOVING EAST AT 20 KNOTS.
SYSTEM LIES TO THE SOUTH OF AN UPPER RIDGE IN A HIGH SHEARED
ENVIRONMENT. ORGANISATION POOR. SST IS AROUND 30 DEGREES CELSIUS.

GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED THE SYSTEM AND MOVE IT EASTWARDS WITH NO
INTENSIFICATION.

POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE
NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS IS VERY LOW.

THIS IS THE FINAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY FOR TD11F.
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