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[北太平洋]黄海气旋(NP05-0129) - 强冷空气前锋,暖区增温导致浙北多地出现25℃以上破纪录温度 JMA:60KT OPC:65KT

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更多 发布于:2017-01-29 15:43

图片:17012912.png


图片:P_48hrsfc (1).gif


图片:gfs_pres_wind_wpac_8.png

图片:gfs_pres_wind_wpac_9.png



JMA 012900UTC
GALE WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 1016 HPA
AT 34N 123E YELLOW SEA MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS.
WARM FRONT FROM 34N 123E TO 34N 127E 33N 130E.
COLD FRONT FROM 34N 123E TO 32N 121E 30N 116E.
EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE
AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS.

图片:QQ截图20170129162636.png



windytv图系GFS 30日18z预测
[风行者于2017-02-01 12:49编辑了帖子]
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1楼#
发布于:2017-01-29 15:44
锋区强悍

图片:Z_SURF_C_FCSJ_O_TEMP-0005_20170129071500.gif

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2楼#
发布于:2017-01-29 16:33
JMA 012906UTC
GALE WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 1014 HPA
AT 34N 129E SEA AROUND TUSHIMA MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS.
WARM FRONT FROM 34N 129E TO 34N 131E 32N 135E.
COLD FRONT FROM 34N 129E TO 32N 125E 30N 119E.
EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST
SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS.

图片:17012915.png

[风行者于2017-01-29 16:38编辑了帖子]
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tcfa_gw
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3楼#
发布于:2017-01-29 23:03
12Z

GALE WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 1012 HPA
AT 35N 132E HONSHU MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS.
WARM FRONT FROM 35N 132E TO 35N 134E 34N 136E 33N 138E.
COLD FRONT FROM 35N 132E TO 33N 130E 32N 126E 31N 123E.
EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST
SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS.

图片:17012921.png



图片:12.png

图片:201701292100-00.png

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发布于:2017-01-30 08:32
18Z
WWJP25 RJTD 291800
WARNING AND SUMMARY 291800.
WARNING VALID 301800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA
AT 34N 137E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS.
WARM FRONT FROM 34N 137E TO 34N 141E 34N 144E.
COLD FRONT FROM 34N 137E TO 32N 134E 30N 128E.
EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST
SEMICIRCLE AND 900 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 300600UTC AT 40N 146E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 50
MILES RADIUS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 301800UTC AT 41N 150E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 85
MILES RADIUS
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC JAN 29.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC JAN 30.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC JAN 31.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 37N TO 44N W OF 166E WINDS 35 TO 50 KT.
SEAS 12 TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE W OF A LINE FROM 34N160E TO 41N170E
TO 44N168E TO 46N160E WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 TO 18 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST LOW 44N161E 956 MB. WITHIN 240 NM S AND SW
QUADRANTS WINDS 50 TO 65 KT. SEAS 18 TO 30 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 47N166E 957 MB. WITHIN 420 NM SW
SEMICIRCLE...AND BETWEEN 300 NM AND 600 NM E AND NE QUADRANTS
WINDS 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 16 TO 32 FT...HIGHEST SW QUADRANT.
ELSEWHERE W OF A LINE FROM 30N173E TO 40N179W TO 45N172W TO
50N173W TO 58N178E WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 27 FT...HIGHEST
S AND SW QUADRANTS.
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发布于:2017-01-30 13:46
JMA 00Z
STORM WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA
AT 39N 144E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS.
EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 60 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST
SEMICIRCLE AND 800 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 301200UTC AT 41N 148E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 50
MILES RADIUS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 310000UTC AT 40N 156E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 85
MILES RADIUS.
ANOTHER LOW 1000 HPA AT 37N 144E
MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 35 KNOTS.
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6楼#
发布于:2017-01-30 15:23
WWJP25 RJTD 300000
WARNING AND SUMMARY 300000.
WARNING VALID 310000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA
AT 39N 144E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS.
EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 60 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST
SEMICIRCLE AND 800 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 301200UTC AT 41N 148E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 50
MILES RADIUS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 310000UTC AT 40N 156E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 85
MILES RADIUS.
ANOTHER LOW 1000 HPA AT 37N 144E
MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 35 KNOTS.
GALE WARNING.
NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER
WATERS BOUNDED BY 27N 128E 20N 125E 16N 120E 22N 114E 30N 122E 27N
128E.
GALE WARNING.
WESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 47N
165E 47N 180E 41N 180E 41N 170E 47N 165E.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 143E 42N 143E
42N 155E 45N 160E 45N 170E 40N 165E 37N 155E 37N 143E.
SUMMARY.
LOW 1002 HPA AT 39N 139E ENE 20 KT.
LOW 994 HPA AT 47N 169E SE 25 KT.
LOW 1014 HPA AT 25N 171E NE 20 KT.
LOW 980 HPA AT 55N 173E SSW SLOWLY.
HIGH 1044 HPA AT 42N 113E ESE 15 KT.
HIGH 1020 HPA AT 24N 136E EAST 20 KT.
HIGH 1020 HPA AT 27N 149E EAST 20 KT.
HIGH 1020 HPA AT 33N 162E EAST 20 KT.
WARM FRONT FROM 37N 144E TO 37N 147E 35N 152E.
COLD FRONT FROM 37N 144E TO 34N 141E 31N 135E 28N 129E.
STATIONARY FRONT FROM 36N 180E TO 34N 175E 32N 170E.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=



看看能不能鸡年第一个EW
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7楼#
发布于:2017-01-31 17:16
最终风速评价差不多出来了
PAN PAN

PACIFIC N OF 30N AND S OF 67N E OF A LINE FROM BERING STRAIT
TO 50N 160E

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC JAN 31.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FEB 01.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FEB 02.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...
.LOW W OF AREA 42N158E 966 MB MOVING NE 25 KT. FROM 36N TO 44N W
OF 167E WINDS 50 TO 65 KT. SEAS 21 TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
360 NM N...600 NM E...AND 540 NM S QUADRANTS WINDS 35 TO 50 KT.
SEAS 13 TO 21 FT. ALSO W OF A LINE FROM 30N160E TO 40N170E TO
48N170E WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 49N166E 955 MB. WITHIN 360 NM W AND SW
QUADRANTS WINDS 50 TO 60 KT. SEAS 21 TO 36 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
420 NM W SEMICIRCLE...420 NM S...660 NM E AND 540 NM NE
QUADRANTS WINDS 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 14 TO 29 FT. ALSO W OF A LINE
FROM 30N178E TO 37N178E TO 40N180W TO 44N171W TO 58N178E WINDS
30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 12 TO 21 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 56N164E 958 MB. FRONT FROM 58N178E TO
50N173W TO 46N171W TO 34N168W. WITHIN 420 NM S QUADRANT...AND
300 NM E AND NE OF FRONT N OF 49N WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 21 TO
30 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 44N W OF 180W...AND WITHIN 420 NM E AND NE
OF FRONT WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 21 FT.
-----------------------------------------------
WWJP25 RJTD 310600
WARNING AND SUMMARY 310600.
WARNING VALID 010600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 964 HPA
AT 45N 162E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS.
OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 45N 162E TO 46N 165E 46N 167E.
WARM FRONT FROM 46N 167E TO 44N 172E 40N 175E.
COLD FRONT FROM 46N 167E TO 40N 167E 31N 160E 27N 153E 25N 142E.
WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 010600UTC AT 50N 166E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 85
MILES RADIUS.
ANOTHER LOW 968 HPA AT 42N 161E
MOVING EAST 35 KNOTS.
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8楼#
发布于:2017-02-01 13:20
AQUA拍摄于昨天早晨

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[风行者于2017-02-03 14:16编辑了帖子]
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