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[北太平洋]阿留申群岛以南海域NP02-0108 - JMA:SW 60KT OPC:HURCN FORCE

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更多 发布于:2017-01-07 21:39

图片:59.phase1.png



SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC JAN 07.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC JAN 08.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC JAN 09.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 38N162E 1000 MB. FROM 30N TO 39N BETWEEN
167E AND 160E WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST LOW 40N172E 988 MB. WITHIN 120 NM W AND 360 NM
S QUADRANTS WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 10 TO 20 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 43N176E 978 MB. WITHIN 180 NM SW
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 50 TO 65 KT.
SEAS 20 TO 32 FT. ALSO WITHIN 360
NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 14 TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE
FROM 31N TO 46N BETWEEN 175W AND 165E WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9
TO 18 FT.

气压不低,但是否有希望2017年北太平洋首个飓风级温气?
[tcfa_gw于2017-01-09 19:39编辑了帖子]
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1楼#
发布于:2017-01-08 10:07
0718Z
SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC JAN 07.
 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC JAN 08.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC JAN 09.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 39N172E 993 MB. FROM 32N TO 41N BETWEEN 165E AND 175E WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 12 TO 21 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 31N TO 42N W OF 177E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 15 FT.
.39 HOUR FORECAST LOW 43N177E 981 MB. WITHIN 240 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 45 TO 65 KT. SEAS 22 TO 35 FT.
 .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 42N179E 986 MB. WITHIN 240 NM S AND SW QUADRANTS WINDS 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 22 TO 35 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 480 NM S...300 NM W...300 NM N AND 180 NM E QUADRANTS WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 12 TO 24 FT. WITHIN 120 NM SE OF A LINE FROM 39N171W TO 35N172W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 720 NM SE...540 NM SW...420 NM NW AND 360 NM N QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 17 FT.
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2楼#
发布于:2017-01-08 12:14
STORM WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA
AT 37N 155E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS.
EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH
SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 090000UTC AT 42N 173E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 85
MILES RADIUS.

正式生成
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3楼#
发布于:2017-01-09 16:50

图片:360截图20170109150500152.jpg

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4楼#
发布于:2017-01-09 19:36
06Z
差一点就要双EW了



STORM WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 980 HPA
AT 42N 177E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS.
OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 42N 177E TO 41N 180E 40N 179W.
WARM FRONT FROM 40N 179W TO 39N 177W 36N 175W.
COLD FRONT FROM 40N 179W TO 38N 179W 35N 180E 32N 176E 30N 171E.
WINDS 30 TO 60 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 091800UTC AT 43N 178E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 50
MILES RADIUS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 100600UTC AT 41N 177W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 85
MILES RADIUS.

图片:02.png

图片:17010915.png


图片:201701091500-00.png

图片:201701091500-01.png

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5楼#
发布于:2017-01-09 19:37
00Z
STORM WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA
AT 41N 175E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS.
OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 41N 175E TO 40N 176E 39N 177E.
WARM FRONT FROM 39N 177E TO 37N 179E 36N 180E 35N 179W.
COLD FRONT FROM 39N 177E TO 34N 175E 31N 167E.
WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND
300 MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 091200UTC AT 42N 178E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 50
MILES RADIUS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 100000UTC AT 41N 178W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 85
MILES RADIUS.

图片:201701090900-00.png

图片:201701090900-01.png

图片:0.png

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6楼#
发布于:2017-01-09 19:38
08 18Z
STORM WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA
AT 40N 171E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS.
OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 40N 171E TO 39N 172E 37N 172E.
WARM FRONT FROM 37N 172E TO 35N 174E 33N 176E.
COLD FRONT FROM 37N 172E TO 33N 168E 31N 161E.
EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 60 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH
SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 090600UTC AT 42N 176E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 50
MILES RADIUS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 091800UTC AT 42N 179E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 85
MILES RADIUS.

图片:201701090300-00.png


图片:201701090300-01.png

图片:17010903.png

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7楼#
发布于:2017-01-09 20:03
09 06Z
STORM WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 980 HPA
AT 42N 177E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS.
OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 42N 177E TO 41N 180E 40N 179W.
WARM FRONT FROM 40N 179W TO 39N 177W 36N 175W.
COLD FRONT FROM 40N 179W TO 38N 179W 35N 180E 32N 176E 30N 171E.
WINDS 30 TO 60 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 091800UTC AT 43N 178E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 50
MILES RADIUS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 100600UTC AT 41N 177W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 85
MILES RADIUS.
--------------------------------------------------------
...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...
.LOW 43N176E 984 MB MOVING SE 15 KT. WITHIN 120 NM SW QUADRANT
WINDS 50 TO 65 KT. SEAS 20 TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM NE
AND 240 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 14 TO 24 FT.
ALSO FROM 31N TO 47N BETWEEN 175W AND 167E WINDS 25 TO 40 KT.
SEAS 10 TO 20 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 42N176W 995 MB. WITHIN 180 NM S QUADRANT
WINDS 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 22 TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 480 NM
SE...360 NM SW...AND 240 NM W QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS
14 TO 24 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 43N160W 1000 MB. WITHIN 360 NM NE AND 480
NM SE QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT.

图片:201701091500-00.png

图片:P_w_sfc_color.png

[风行者于2017-01-09 20:21编辑了帖子]
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8楼#
发布于:2017-01-09 23:54
12Z

STORM WARNING.
DEVELOPED LOW 980 HPA
AT 43N 177E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS.
WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 100000UTC AT 42N 180E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 50
MILES RADIUS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 101200UTC AT 41N 174W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 85
MILES RADIUS.

图片:17010921.png



图片:02.png

图片:201701092100-05.png





图片:201701092100-06.png

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