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论坛版主-副热带高压
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[历史气旋]日本以东温带气旋NP01-0105,巅峰:948hpa

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更多 发布于:2016-01-05 17:52

图片:P_48hrsfc.gif

图片:16010509.png


目前还位于日本以东,但两个机构都预测在48小时达到巅峰,而且强度很强,因此开贴。
[beta于2016-01-07 18:07编辑了帖子]
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1楼#
发布于:2016-01-05 18:04
...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...
.LOW 40N160E 997 MB MOVING NE 40 KT AND RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING
WILL TURN MORE N AND SLOW AFTER 24 HOURS. OVER FORECAST WATERS
WITHIN 300 NM S AND SW QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM SE AND 480 NM S AND SW QUADRANTS
WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 48N178W 964 MB. WITHIN 180 NM SE
SEMICIRCLE AND FROM 42N TO 47N BETWEEN 176W AND 177E WINDS 40 TO
55 KT. SEAS 13 TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 32N TO 45N W OF 164W AND
WITHIN 480 NM S AND SE SEMICIRCLES AND 240 NM N QUADRANT WINDS
25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 21 FT...HIGHEST IN S QUADRANT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST LOW 50N176W 945 MB. WITHIN 180 NM SW
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 50 TO 65 KT. SEAS 18 TO 34 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
180 NM SE QUADRANT AND 300 NM SW AND W SEMICIRCLES AND WITHIN
180 NM NE OF A FRONT FROM 53N174W TO 42N160W WINDS 40 TO 50 KT.
SEAS 16 TO 30 FT...EXCEPT NE OF FRONT 10 TO 22 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 53N174W 945 MB. BETWEEN 90 NM AND 240 NM S
AND S AND E SEMICIRCLES WINDS 50 TO 65 KT. SEAS 22 TO 37 FT...
HIGHEST NEAR 52N170W. ALSO WITHIN 360 NM SW SEMICIRCLE...240 NM
E AND 180 NM NE QUADRANTS AND WITHIN 180 NM N OF A LINE FROM
58N175W TO 52N161W WINDS 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 14 TO 28 FT. ALSO
WITHIN 1080 NM S QUADRANT AND 600 NM E AND NE AND 480 NM W AND
NW QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 TO 20
FT...EXCEPT N OF 61N 10 FT OR LESS.
风力比较一般,最高只有65kt,
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2楼#
发布于:2016-01-06 18:33

图片:P_sfc_full_ocean_color.png




...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...
.LOW 48N176W 949 MB MOVING NE 20 KT NEXT 12 HOURS THEN TURNING
MORE NW. WITHIN 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 50 TO 65 KT. SEAS 15
TO 26 FT. ALSO WITHIN 180 NM W SEMICIRCLE...300 NM S AND 120 NM
SE QUADRANTS AND WITHIN 240 NM NE OF A FRONT FROM 50N174W TO
45N170W WINDS 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 12 TO 25 FT...HIGHEST IN S
QUADRANT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN A LINE BOUNDED BY 55N170W TO 50N160W
TO 40N157W TO 30N171W TO 30N180W TO 39N160E TO 55N170W WINDS 25
TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 23 FT...EXCEPT IN BERING SEA 8 TO 14 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST LOW 51N174W 945 MB. WITHIN 120 NM SE AND 240
NM SW AND W QUADRANTS WINDS 50 TO 65 KT. SEAS 22 TO 32 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM SW SEMICIRCLE...240 NM SE AND 180 NM E
QUADRANTS AND WITHIN 180 NM NE OF A FRONT FROM 55N174W TO
48N161W WINDS 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 13 TO 25 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 55N176W 950 MB. FRONT TO EXTEND FROM
55N165W TO 45N152W. OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 540 NM N AND NE
QUADRANTS...480 NM SW AND W AND 360 NM SE QUADRANTS WINDS 30 TO
45 KT. SEAS 10 TO 28 FT...EXCEPT N OF 62N AND E OF 163W IN
BERING SEA 12 FT OR LESS. ALSO WITHIN 180 NM NE AND E OF FRONT
WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 19 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW NW OF AREA NEAR 61N171E 963 MB. FRONT TO
EXTEND FROM 61N178W TO 57N159W. N OF FRONT E OF 165W WINDS 25 TO
35 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 540 NM SE AND S QUADRANTS
AND N OF 60N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 TO 18
FT...EXCEPT E OF 170W 9 FT OR LESS.

已经949hpa-65kt,预计巅峰在945左右
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3楼#
发布于:2016-01-06 18:35

图片:16010615.png


jma 06Z认为956hpa
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4楼#
发布于:2016-01-07 18:07

图片:16010703.png


JMA认为巅峰948hpa.
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5楼#
发布于:2016-01-08 16:34
今年太平洋气旋很活跃,阿拉斯加阻塞也是直插极地。。
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