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[EP]危地马拉西南92E - 12.8N 91.7W - NHC:30%

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更多 发布于:2015-09-24 01:51
92EINVEST.15kts-NAmb-106N-907W.

图片:20150923.1730.goes13.x.ir1km_bw.92EINVEST.15kts-NAmb-106N-907W.80pc.jpg



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT WED SEP 23 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. An area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred miles
south or southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec by late this week.
Gradual development of this system is forecast, and a tropical
depression is likely to form by the end of the weekend while the low
moves northward or northeastward toward the coast of Mexico.
Interests in Mexico should closely monitor the progress of this
disturbance.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

Forecaster Kimberlain

图片:two_pac_2d1.png

[新细明体于2015-09-27 14:13编辑了帖子]
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iam最小值
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1楼#
发布于:2015-09-24 22:56
 A low pressure system is expected to form late this week within a
large area of disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms extending
from the coast of Central America southwestward into the eastern
Pacific for several hundred miles.  The low is likely to develop
into a tropical depression by early next week several hundred miles
southwest or west-southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec and move
northward or northeastward toward the southern coast of Mexico.
Interests along the southern coast of Mexico should monitor the
progress of this disturbance over the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

图片:two_pac_2d1.png

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iam最小值
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2楼#
发布于:2015-09-25 21:43
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT FRI SEP 25 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. An area of low pressure located just south of the Guatemala-Mexico
border is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This
system is expected to drift northwestward during the next few days
and development should be limited due to its interaction with land.
Regardless of tropical cyclone formation, this system could produce
heavy rainfall over portions of El Salvador, southern Guatemala, and
southeastern Mexico during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent
 

图片:two_pac_2d1.png


图片:20150925.1300.goes13.x.ir1km_bw.92EINVEST.20kts-1006mb-128N-917W.92pc.jpg


 
之前NHC这一块好像只有一个评级,今天危地马拉以南这块被新评级了,然后92E的定位也在这里,之前5天80%那块就顺理成章的新编了93E。目前数值的预报,未来受制于93E和近岸因素,发展有限。
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05S_Bansi
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发布于:2015-09-26 10:08
即将登陆
 

图片:2015EP92_4KMIRIMG_201509260130.gif

[iam最小值于2015-09-27 13:54编辑了帖子]
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发布于:2015-09-27 09:17
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图片:two_pac_0d0.png

回眸过去,守望现在,眺望未来!
我在论坛的当年今日:一年前,还满怀追风热情的我当上了论坛版主。如今卸任在即,希望有朝一日我能满怀激情再度归来!
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