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[AL]南卡罗莱纳州东南热带风暴“安娜”(01L.Ana) - 以副热身份成为北大15风季首旋,10日10UTC登陆南卡罗来纳州

楼主#
更多 发布于:2015-05-06 15:26
来了来了


 AL, 90, 2015050606,   , BEST,   0, 265N,  790W,  25, 1016, LO,  34, NEQ,    0,    0,    0,    0, 1018,  120,  50,   0,   0,   L,   0,    ,   0,   0,     INVEST, M,  0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0, genesis-num, 001,
[iam最小值于2015-05-11 09:09编辑了帖子]
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    2015-05-06 15:33
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    2015-05-06 15:33
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meow
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1楼#
发布于:2015-05-06 16:19
去年中太平洋才出现Ana,过了7个月北大西洋可能也要有Ana了,只是可能是副热带风暴。
Meow, a sex-starved pussy, gets aroused when everyone at the pool stares at her white and soaked up swimsuit turning see-through and exposing her tempting body.
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2楼#
发布于:2015-05-06 17:11
.ATLC TROUGH FROM 30N78W TO 26N79W TO 23N78W. FROM 26N TO 28N E
OF TROUGH TO 73W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. S OF 22N
BETWEEN 70W AND 73W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 29N78W 1012 MB WITH TROUGH TO
22N78W. N OF 29N BETWEEN 77W AND 80W N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8
TO 10 FT. N OF 29N BETWEEN 76W AND 78W SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 25
KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES JUST N OF AREA NEAR 32N77W 1009 MB. N
OF 29N BETWEEN 79W AND 77W W TO NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO
10 FT. N OF 29N BETWEEN 77W AND 75W S TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.

图片:A_w_sfc_color.png

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3楼#
发布于:2015-05-06 18:53

Special Tropical Outlook Issued by the NOAA National Hurricane Center



A non-tropical area of low pressure is expected to form near the northwestern Bahamas around midweek. This system could gradually acquire some subtropical characteristics by Thursday or Friday as it moves generally northward at a slow forward speed. This image was taken by GOES East at 1445Z on May 4, 2015.

图片:1699v1_20150504-Atlantic.png

僕らタイムフライヤー 時を駆け上がるクライマー
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4楼#
发布于:2015-05-06 18:54
NHC:20%

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1000 AM EDT TUE MAY 5 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms extending
from the northwestern Caribbean Sea across Cuba, southern Florida,
and the Bahamas is associated with an upper-level trough and a weak
surface trough. An area of low pressure is expected to form in
association with this disturbance during the next day or two. The
low could gradually acquire subtropical characteristics over the
next few days while it moves generally northward at a slow forward
speed. For additional information on this system, see High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. The next Special
Tropical Weather Outlook will be issued on this system by 11 AM EDT
Wednesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service are
available under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
on the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml.

Forecaster Brennan



图片:two_atl_2d1.png

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5楼#
发布于:2015-05-06 20:19
1. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms extending over portions of
Florida, the Bahamas, and adjacent waters are associated with an
upper-level trough and a weak surface low located over the
northwestern Bahamas.  The aircraft reconnaissance mission scheduled
for this afternoon has been cancelled.  However, conditions are
expected to become gradually more favorable for development over the
next day or so while the system moves slowly northward.  A
subtropical or tropical cyclone could form by Thursday or Friday,
and interests along the southeast coast of the United States should
monitor the progress of this system through the weekend. The next
Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be issued on this system by 8
PM EDT today. For additional information, see High Seas Forecasts
issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent

图片:two_atl_2d1.png

[iam最小值于2015-05-06 20:26编辑了帖子]
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刚打酱油回来
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6楼#
发布于:2015-05-07 03:22
FZNT02 KNHC 061620
HSFAT2
HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                              
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
1630 UTC WED MAY 06 2015
24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES
POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR
29N78W 1013 MB. OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 120 NM OF LOW WINDS
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES
POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...N OF
THE AREA NEAR 32N78.5W. N OF 30N BETWEEN 75W AND 80W SW TO W
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
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7楼#
发布于:2015-05-07 12:42
SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
735 PM EDT WED MAY 6 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms extending northward from the
Bahamas to just offshore of the coast of the Carolinas are
associated with an upper-level trough and a weak surface low located
a couple of hundred miles east of the northeast Florida coast.
Conditions are expected to become gradually more favorable for
development over the next day or so while this system moves slowly
northward and then northwestward.  A subtropical or tropical cyclone
could form by tomorrow or Friday, and interests along the southeast
coast of the United States should monitor the progress of this
system.  Regardless of development, heavy rain is possible over
portions of the coastal southeastern United States beginning
tomorrow.  The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be issued
on this system by 2 AM EDT on Thursday.  For additional information,
see products from your local National Weather Service forecast
office and High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent

图片:20150506.2245.goes13.x.vis1km_high.90LINVEST.25kts-1015mb-268N-794W.100pc.jpg


 

图片:al9015 20150506 1200Z.gif


 
以前NHC机率60%为HIGH,现在是MEDIUM,不过美 军方面似乎还没改过来。昨晚NHC提升到60%后后者发了TCFA。
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8楼#
发布于:2015-05-07 14:23
.ATLC LOW PRES NEAR 30N78W 1014 MB WITH TROUGH TO 27N74W TO
24N79W. N OF 29N W OF TROUGH TO 80W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. N OF 28N E OF TROUGH TO 75W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL
CYCLONE...N OF AREA NEAR 32N78W 1007 MB. OVER FORECAST WATERS
WITHIN 180 NM OF LOW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL
CYCLONE...N OF THE AREA NEAR 34N79W 1006 MB. N OF 30N BETWEEN
75W AND 79W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

图片:A_w_sfc_color.png

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shadow17
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9楼#
发布于:2015-05-07 14:40
標題好像打錯了 2014→ 2015
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